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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Preston North End logo

Middlesbrough
4 - 0
Preston

Akpom (22'), Archer (52', 58'), Forss (90+5')
Steffen (50'), Forss (76'), Fry (78'), Bola (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (45+2'), Fernandez (67'), Diaby (76'), Delap (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Stoke
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Preston
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 3-1 Preston North End

With Preston travelling to the North East full of confidence, they will relish the opportunity to further derail Middlesbrough's automatic promotion bid. However, the home side's extra quality in attack may prove key, and we expect Carrick's side to come through in an entertaining fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawPreston North End
62.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 22.01% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 15.57% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.45% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (0.058 0.06)50.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (0.051000000000002 0.05)72.37% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02)15.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)44.61% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.05% (0.052 0.05)44.95% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.11% (0.042000000000002 0.04)80.9% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 62.41%
    Preston North End 15.57%
    Draw 22.01%
MiddlesbroughDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 62.41%
1-1 @ 10.42%
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 22.01%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 15.57%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Preston

Middlesbrough
63.0%
Draw
29.6%
Preston North End
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Preston
4-1
Middlesbrough
Browne (24'), Fry (35' og.), Riis Jakobsen (53', 74' pen.)
van den Berg (45'), Johnson (45'), McCann (56')
Tavernier (48')
Daniels (45'), McNair (45'), Dijksteel (58'), Fry (66'), Jones (72'), Crooks (84')
McNair (73')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
1-2
Preston
McNair (33')
Evans (77'), Riis Jakobsen (81')
Browne (63'), Evans (75'), Earl (85'), Johnson (90+1')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
2-0
Preston
Storey (22' og.), Tavernier (51')
Fisher (66')

Potts (62')
Browne (36')
Dec 9, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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