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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
QPR logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
QPR

Akpom (64', 77'), McGree (90+2')
Akpom (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chair (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-3 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-3 Sunderland
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

As we have learned in the Championship over years gone by, anything can happen, and it would be naive to completely rule out QPR. However, these two clubs are clearly on different trajectories right now, and we can only back another convincing victory for Boro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
57.9% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 23.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 18.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.8% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)51.75% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.02 -0.02)73.52% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)17.63% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)48.24% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.04% (-0.061 -0.06)41.96% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6% (-0.052 -0.05)78.4% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 57.9%
    Queens Park Rangers 18.58%
    Draw 23.52%
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 12.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6%
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 57.9%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 18.58%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs QPR

Middlesbrough
92.9%
Draw
3.6%
Queens Park Rangers
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
QPR
3-2
Middlesbrough
Willock (13'), Dunne (27'), Dykes (38')
Johansen (77'), Kakay (90+1')
Crooks (41'), Forss (56')
Forss (17'), Bola (73')
Lenihan (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
QPR
2-2
Middlesbrough
Chair (29'), Willock (46')
Fry (45+2'), Adomah (60' og.)
Howson (84')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-3
QPR
Ikpeazu (7' pen.), Crooks (72')
Jones (54'), Payero (90+7')
Howson (48' og.), Dykes (56'), Willock (76')
Odubajo (38'), Odubajo (50'), Johansen (90+2')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Middlesbrough
1-2
QPR
Bolasie (28')
Dickie (15'), Wallace (18')
Kakay (31')
Dieng (58')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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