MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 01:12:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Middlesbrough logo
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Watford logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Watford

Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
Howson (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cathcart (38'), Adeyemo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Watford

Although they did suffer a disappointing defeat last time out, Middlesbrough are full of confidence under Carrick, and taking on a Watford side who are badly hit by injuries and struggling for consistency, we fancy them to come out on top at the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Watford had a probability of 25.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
48.46% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01) 25.9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 25.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)53.78% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)75.25% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79%22.21% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (0.0039999999999978 0)55.62% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (0.02 0.02)72.88% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.46%
    Watford 25.63%
    Draw 25.9%
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 25.63%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Watford

Middlesbrough
55.2%
Draw
27.6%
Watford
17.2%
29
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Oct 16, 2016 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!