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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Middlesbrough logo

Watford
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough

Although Middlesbrough recorded their first win of the season on Saturday, we think that a Watford side who have won two of their three home games this term will edge out Boro in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
37.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 26.87% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.3% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.13% (0.010000000000005 0.01)53.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)75.33% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)27.8% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.012 0.01)63.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17%64.83%
Score Analysis
    Watford 37.52%
    Middlesbrough 35.61%
    Draw 26.87%
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.52%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.98% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.61%

How you voted: Watford vs Middlesbrough

Watford
69.2%
Draw
17.3%
Middlesbrough
13.5%
52
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Oct 16, 2016 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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