Home > Football > Championship
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
22 | Huddersfield Town | 4 | -1 | 3 |
23 | Middlesbrough | 5 | -2 | 3 |
24 | Coventry City | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Birmingham City | 5 | -1 | 5 |
20 | Swansea City | 5 | -4 | 5 |
21 | Stoke City | 5 | -3 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Swansea City |
52.35% ( 0.13) | 25.41% ( -0.04) | 22.23% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 47.64% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.28% ( 0.08) | 54.72% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.96% ( 0.06) | 76.04% ( -0.06) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.08% ( 0.09) | 20.92% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.35% ( 0.13) | 53.65% ( -0.13) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.24% ( -0.04) | 39.76% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.57% ( -0.04) | 76.43% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 13.01% 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 52.34% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 22.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 48 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 48 |
3 | Burnley | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 47 |
4 | Sunderland | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 38 |
6 | Watford | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 36 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 35 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 33 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 30 |
11 | Bristol City | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 30 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 29 |
13 | Millwall | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 28 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 27 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 27 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 25 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Portsmouth | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 20 |
22 | Hull City | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 19 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 18 |
> Championship Full Table |