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Championship | Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Swansea logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Swansea

McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Swansea City

Middlesbrough will be lacking confidence given their tough start to the campaign, but, with home advantage against a vulnerable Swansea side, we back Chris Wilder's men to put their first three-point haul on the board at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
52.35% (0.128 0.13) 25.41% (-0.038 -0.04) 22.23% (-0.087 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.64% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.28% (0.076000000000001 0.08)54.72% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.96% (0.063000000000002 0.06)76.04% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (0.085999999999999 0.09)20.92% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (0.133 0.13)53.65% (-0.128 -0.13)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)39.76% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)76.43% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 52.34%
    Swansea City 22.23%
    Draw 25.41%
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 13.01%
2-0 @ 10.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.31% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.34%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.32% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 22.23%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Swansea

Middlesbrough
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Swansea City
16.7%
24
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Middlesbrough
Ayew (40', 90+7' pen.)
Manning (64'), Guehi (71')
Morsy (90+1')
Bolasie (39'), Saville (47'), Morsy (87'), Howson (90+5')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
Watmore (26', 67')
Johnson (45'), Akpom (57')
Dhanda (78')
Fulton (45+1'), Grimes (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds23146343152848
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd23155332131948
3Burnley2313823092147
4Sunderland23128336201644
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2211562720738
6Watford2211473229337
7Middlesbrough23106741311036
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2381142718935
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds239683133-233
10Swansea CitySwansea238692724330
11Bristol City237972728-130
12Norwich CityNorwich237883935429
13Millwall227782220228
14Derby CountyDerby2376102929027
15Coventry CityCoventry2376103234-227
16Preston North EndPreston2351172329-626
17Queens Park RangersQPR2351082331-825
18Luton TownLuton2374122539-1425
19Stoke CityStoke2357112332-922
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2256112439-1521
21Portsmouth214892637-1120
22Hull City2347122132-1119
23Cardiff CityCardiff2246122137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2246122249-2718


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