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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 13.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Rotherham United |
66.8% ( -0.32) | 20.08% ( 0.1) | 13.12% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 46.26% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.63% ( 0.05) | 47.36% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.42% ( 0.04) | 69.58% ( -0.04) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.74% ( -0.08) | 13.26% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.95% ( -0.16) | 40.05% ( 0.16) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.33% ( 0.37) | 46.67% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.76% ( 0.28) | 82.23% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Rotherham United |
2-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 66.8% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.08% | 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.12% Total : 13.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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