Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.