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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Reading logo

Norwich
1 - 1
Reading

Idah (53')
Hanley (2'), McCallum (31'), Sara (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Carroll (83' pen.)
Holmes (58'), N'Diaye (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-1 Norwich
Monday, December 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.15pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Reading

Given the recent developments at Carrow Road, this is a difficult match to predict. With Reading able to overtake their hosts with victory in East Anglia, Norwich may be more than satisfied with earning a share of the spoils should the game be competitive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawReading
62.21% (-1.566 -1.57) 21.47% (0.414 0.41) 16.32% (1.152 1.15)
Both teams to score 49.72% (1.288 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.09% (0.358 0.36)46.9% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.84% (0.335 0.33)69.15% (-0.337 -0.34)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (-0.373 -0.37)14.51% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.48% (-0.722 -0.72)42.51% (0.72 0.72)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.16% (1.75 1.75)41.84% (-1.75 -1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.7% (1.488 1.49)78.29% (-1.488 -1.49)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 62.2%
    Reading 16.32%
    Draw 21.47%
Norwich CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 11.71% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-0 @ 11.31% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.28% (-0.412 -0.41)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.51% (-0.248 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.112 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 62.2%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.228 0.23)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.47%
0-1 @ 5.29% (0.172 0.17)
1-2 @ 4.45% (0.292 0.29)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.142 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 16.32%

How you voted: Norwich vs Reading

Norwich City
66.7%
Draw
23.8%
Reading
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 8pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Norwich
4-1
Reading
Dowell (30', 64'), Quintilla (78'), Pukki (85')
Aarons (17'), Skipp (42')
Laurent (12')
Richards (25'), Semedo (77')
Dec 16, 2020 8pm
Reading
1-2
Norwich
Olise (14')
Onen (83')
Buendia (11'), Pukki (55' pen.)
Apr 10, 2019 7.45pm
Norwich
2-2
Reading
Godfrey (86'), Zimmermann (88')
Meite (30'), Rinomhota (97')
Emiliano Martinez (48'), Baker (62')
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Reading
1-2
Norwich
Dadi Bodvarsson (72')
Meite (27'), Gunter (54')
Pukki (14'), Vrancic (73')
Vrancic (76'), Aarons (81'), Tettey (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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