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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Reading logo

Norwich
1 - 1
Reading

Idah (53')
Hanley (2'), McCallum (31'), Sara (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Carroll (83' pen.)
Holmes (58'), N'Diaye (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-1 Norwich
Monday, December 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.15pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Reading

Given the recent developments at Carrow Road, this is a difficult match to predict. With Reading able to overtake their hosts with victory in East Anglia, Norwich may be more than satisfied with earning a share of the spoils should the game be competitive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawReading
62.21% (-1.566 -1.57) 21.47% (0.414 0.41) 16.32% (1.152 1.15)
Both teams to score 49.72% (1.288 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.09% (0.358 0.36)46.9% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.84% (0.335 0.33)69.15% (-0.337 -0.34)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (-0.373 -0.37)14.51% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.48% (-0.722 -0.72)42.51% (0.72 0.72)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.16% (1.75 1.75)41.84% (-1.75 -1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.7% (1.488 1.49)78.29% (-1.488 -1.49)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 62.2%
    Reading 16.32%
    Draw 21.47%
Norwich CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 11.71% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-0 @ 11.31% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.28% (-0.412 -0.41)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.51% (-0.248 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.112 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 62.2%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.228 0.23)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.47%
0-1 @ 5.29% (0.172 0.17)
1-2 @ 4.45% (0.292 0.29)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.142 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 16.32%

How you voted: Norwich vs Reading

Norwich City
66.7%
Draw
23.8%
Reading
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 8pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Norwich
4-1
Reading
Dowell (30', 64'), Quintilla (78'), Pukki (85')
Aarons (17'), Skipp (42')
Laurent (12')
Richards (25'), Semedo (77')
Dec 16, 2020 8pm
Reading
1-2
Norwich
Olise (14')
Onen (83')
Buendia (11'), Pukki (55' pen.)
Apr 10, 2019 7.45pm
Norwich
2-2
Reading
Godfrey (86'), Zimmermann (88')
Meite (30'), Rinomhota (97')
Emiliano Martinez (48'), Baker (62')
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Reading
1-2
Norwich
Dadi Bodvarsson (72')
Meite (27'), Gunter (54')
Pukki (14'), Vrancic (73')
Vrancic (76'), Aarons (81'), Tettey (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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