Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 80.31%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 7.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-2 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
80.31% ( -0.28) | 12.2% ( 0.08) | 7.49% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.74% ( 0.49) | 26.26% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.45% ( 0.62) | 46.54% ( -0.62) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.98% ( 0.05) | 5.02% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.97% ( 0.14) | 20.03% ( -0.14) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.13% ( 0.91) | 42.87% ( -0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.82% ( 0.76) | 79.18% ( -0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.08) 6-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 7-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.69% Total : 80.31% | 1-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 12.2% | 1-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.39% Total : 7.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 7 | 45 | 50 |
2 | RangersRangers | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 34 |
5 | St Mirren | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 27 |
6 | Motherwell | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
7 | Hibernian | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 25 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 24 |
9 | Dundee | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Ross County | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 22 |
11 | Hearts | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 20 |
12 | St Johnstone | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |