MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 16:32:16| >> :600:351770:351770:
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 5, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova
Leganes logo

Cartagena
1 - 2
Leganes

Munoz (17')
FT(HT: 1-1)
El Haddadi (28'), Raba (51')
Rosier (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Cartagena and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cartagena 0-0 Albacete
Friday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Leganes 2-5 Villarreal
Sunday, December 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cartagena 1-2 Leganes

Cartagena are capable of making this a tough match for Leganes, who have not convinced in the competition this season. However, we are expecting the La Liga outfit to navigate their way into the last-16 stage of the tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leganes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leganes.

Result
CartagenaDrawLeganes
34.85% (-1.266 -1.27) 27.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 37.16% (1.271 1.27)
Both teams to score 47.78% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.75% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)58.25% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)78.89% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.818 -0.82)31.6% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-0.954 -0.95)68.01% (0.953 0.95)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.86% (0.77900000000001 0.78)30.14% (-0.78 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.71% (0.924 0.92)66.29% (-0.926 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 34.84%
    Leganes 37.16%
    Draw 27.98%
CartagenaDrawLeganes
1-0 @ 10.97% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 7.58% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-0 @ 6.32% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.84%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.53% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 11.42% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.166 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.85% (0.294 0.29)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.173 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.16%

How you voted: Cartagena vs Leganes

Cartagena
0.0%
Draw
28.6%
Leganes
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 33
Leganes
0-0
Cartagena
Franquesa (37'), Nyom (44'), de la Fuente (84')
Gonzalo (18'), Poveda (25'), Lizoain (90+3'), Alarcon (90+4'), Lizoain (90+5')
Nov 5, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Cartagena
0-3
Leganes

Calero (71')
De la Fuente (50', 61'), Raba (69')
Neyou (43'), Undabarrena (90+1')
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 34
Leganes
1-3
Cartagena
Arnaiz (39' pen.)
Ortuno (78'), Franchu (81'), Nyom (90+1' og.)
Oct 9, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 9
Cartagena
1-2
Leganes
Valle (55')
Omeruo (59'), Munoz (74')
May 8, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 39
Cartagena
0-0
Leganes
Boateng (3')
Cisse (27')
rhs 2.0
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