Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Bromley had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Bromley win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.