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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Colchester United

Crewe
0 - 0
Colchester


Williams (7')
FT

Iandolo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-2 Crewe
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Newport
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Colchester United

Given the prolonged unbeaten records of both sides in the fourth tier, this contest should be far more competitive than their league positions suggest it could be. Nevertheless, we are backing the home side to come through in a hard-fought fixture, reducing the gap to leaders Walsall in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawColchester United
41.2% (0.383 0.38) 26.91% (0.22 0.22) 31.88% (-0.607 -0.61)
Both teams to score 50.42% (-0.874 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.35% (-1.028 -1.03)54.65% (1.024 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.02% (-0.858 -0.86)75.98% (0.85499999999999 0.85)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.267 -0.27)26.12% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82% (-0.357 -0.36)61.18% (0.353 0.35)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (-0.935 -0.94)31.76% (0.932 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (-1.084 -1.08)68.18% (1.081 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 41.2%
    Colchester United 31.88%
    Draw 26.91%
Crewe AlexandraDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.2%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.325 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.136 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.88%

How you voted: Crewe vs Colchester

Crewe Alexandra
64.7%
Draw
23.5%
Colchester United
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Colchester
1-1
Crewe
Chilvers (35')
Kelleher (62')
Nevitt (90+2')
Rowe (49')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crewe
2-1
Colchester
Long (3', 8' pen.)
Demetriou (90+3')
Tovide (53')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Colchester
4-0
Crewe
Akinde (24', 28'), Chilvers (40'), Tovide (55')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crewe
1-0
Colchester
Agyei (80')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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