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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Swindon Town

Colchester
4 - 0
Swindon

Smith (10' og.), Tovide (12', 26'), Payne (38')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Cotterill (34'), Hall (43'), McGregor (58')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
40.18% (-0.813 -0.81) 25.33% (0.118 0.12) 34.5% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.245 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.391 -0.39)47.42% (0.389 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.362 -0.36)69.63% (0.36099999999999 0.36)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (-0.575 -0.58)23.4% (0.575 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (-0.845 -0.84)57.38% (0.843 0.84)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (0.23 0.23)26.51% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (0.30399999999999 0.3)61.71% (-0.307 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 40.18%
    Swindon Town 34.5%
    Draw 25.33%
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.085 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 34.5%

How you voted: Colchester vs Swindon

Colchester United
57.1%
Draw
0.0%
Swindon Town
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
First Round
Swindon
2-1
Colchester
McGregor (83'), Tshimanga (110')
Wright (23'), Smith (85'), McGregor (102')
Anderson (64')
Flanagan (9'), Cowley (11'), McDonnell (23'), Gordon (63'), Hunt (71'), Iandolo (85'), Donnelly (90')
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
2-2
Colchester
Austin (18' pen.), Brewitt (43')
Shade (74')
Jay (45+2'), Ihionvien (90+4')
Chilvers (14'), Cowley (15'), Marshall-Miranda (64')
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County28148645281750
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield28109943321139
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
14Bromley2781183635135
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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