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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Swindon Town

Colchester
4 - 0
Swindon

Smith (10' og.), Tovide (12', 26'), Payne (38')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Cotterill (34'), Hall (43'), McGregor (58')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
40.18% (-0.813 -0.81) 25.33% (0.118 0.12) 34.5% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.245 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.391 -0.39)47.42% (0.389 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.362 -0.36)69.63% (0.36099999999999 0.36)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (-0.575 -0.58)23.4% (0.575 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (-0.845 -0.84)57.38% (0.843 0.84)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (0.23 0.23)26.51% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (0.30399999999999 0.3)61.71% (-0.307 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 40.18%
    Swindon Town 34.5%
    Draw 25.33%
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.085 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 34.5%

How you voted: Colchester vs Swindon

Colchester United
57.1%
Draw
0.0%
Swindon Town
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
First Round
Swindon
2-1
Colchester
McGregor (83'), Tshimanga (110')
Wright (23'), Smith (85'), McGregor (102')
Anderson (64')
Flanagan (9'), Cowley (11'), McDonnell (23'), Gordon (63'), Hunt (71'), Iandolo (85'), Donnelly (90')
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
2-2
Colchester
Austin (18' pen.), Brewitt (43')
Shade (74')
Jay (45+2'), Ihionvien (90+4')
Chilvers (14'), Cowley (15'), Marshall-Miranda (64')
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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