MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 05:12:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 1
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Swindon Town

Colchester
3 - 1
Swindon

Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Colchester
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 4-7 Aldershot
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Colchester United 1-1 Swindon Town

 There is plenty of uncertainty regarding how these two teams will fare this season after each losing a significant amount of players during the transfer window so far, but neither side should be majorly concerned about any relegation troubles. With that in mind, we can envisage a decent encounter with plenty of offensive quality on display, with both managers likely to settle for a share of the spoils to open the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
37.42% (1.229 1.23) 24.07% (-0.084 -0.08) 38.5% (-1.15 -1.15)
Both teams to score 61.19% (0.415 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.78% (0.498 0.5)41.22% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38% (0.506 0.51)63.61% (-0.511 -0.51)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (0.858 0.86)22.04% (-0.864 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (1.287 1.29)55.37% (-1.292 -1.29)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (-0.34100000000001 -0.34)21.5% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.45% (-0.523 -0.52)54.55% (0.518 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 37.42%
    Swindon Town 38.5%
    Draw 24.07%
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.154 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.17% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.145 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.42%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.5%

How you voted: Colchester vs Swindon

Colchester United
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Swindon Town
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Colchester
1-0
Swindon
Hannant (30')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Swindon
1-0
Colchester
Shade (64')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
> Preview
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
0-0
Colchester
Conroy (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!