Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Swindon Town |
41.54% ( -0) | 25.11% ( 0) | 33.34% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.74% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.28% ( -0) | 46.72% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.02% ( -0) | 68.98% ( 0) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.58% ( -0) | 22.41% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.06% ( -0) | 55.93% ( 0.01) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.13% ( -0) | 26.87% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.82% ( -0) | 62.18% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.54% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 31 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 29 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |