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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Swindon Town has a probability of 37.47% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Swindon Town win is 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.89%).
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | MK Dons |
37.47% ( -0.59) | 23.93% ( -0.14) | 38.6% ( 0.73) |
Both teams to score 61.73% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.47% ( 0.69) | 40.53% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.09% ( 0.7) | 62.91% ( -0.7) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.29% ( 0.01) | 21.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.13% ( 0.02) | 54.87% ( -0.01) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.85% ( 0.66) | 21.15% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.99% ( 1.02) | 54.01% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 38.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |