Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 56.48%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 21.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MK Dons in this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
56.48% ( -0.02) | 21.55% ( 0) | 21.96% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.61% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.3% ( -0.01) | 38.69% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39% ( -0.01) | 61% ( 0) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.4% ( -0.01) | 13.59% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.28% ( -0.02) | 40.71% ( 0.01) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.98% ( 0) | 31.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.67% ( 0.01) | 67.32% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.75% Total : 21.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |