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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
34.18% ( 0.12) | 24.9% ( 0.01) | 40.92% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 57.69% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.43% ( -0.02) | 45.57% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% ( -0.02) | 67.9% ( 0.02) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.18% ( 0.06) | 25.82% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.22% ( 0.08) | 60.78% ( -0.08) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% ( -0.07) | 22.22% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.35% ( -0.1) | 55.64% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.18% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |