MX23RW : Monday, January 27 19:24:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
MK Dons

Morecambe
1 - 3
MK Dons

McKiernan (49')
Connolly (27'), McKiernan (52'), Slew (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dean (31', 90+7'), Tomlinson (69')
Williams (41'), Williams (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 0-5 Morecambe
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-2 MK Dons

There is little separating the teams ahead of Saturday's clash, but MK Dons just about have the edge given their record in this fixture. We are anticipating a keenly-contested affair with the visitors narrowly coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawMK Dons
29.93% (-0.21 -0.21) 24.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 45.11% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.78% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)47.31% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (0.004999999999999 0)69.54% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (-0.14 -0.14)29.39% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (-0.174 -0.17)65.37% (0.176 0.18)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.107 0.11)21.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.2% (0.166 0.17)53.8% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 29.93%
    MK Dons 45.11%
    Draw 24.95%
MorecambeDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.93%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.51% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 45.11%

How you voted: Morecambe vs MK Dons

Morecambe
23.1%
Draw
19.2%
MK Dons
57.7%
26
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
MK Dons
1-0
Morecambe
Leko (57')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
O'Hora (18'), Dennis (51')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Morecambe
0-4
MK Dons
Grigg (16', 36'), Grant (62'), Dennis (67')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
Darling (20'), Harvie (79')
Kasumu (32'), Lewington (56')

Gibson (7'), Connolly (67'), Phillips (86'), Ayunga (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Morecambe
0-4
MK Dons

McLoughlin (32')
Eisa (23'), O'Riley (40', 82'), Darling (64')
O'Hora (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920


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