MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:41:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
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MK Dons
Morecambe
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
MK Dons

Morecambe
1 - 3
MK Dons

McKiernan (49')
Connolly (27'), McKiernan (52'), Slew (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dean (31', 90+7'), Tomlinson (69')
Williams (41'), Williams (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 0-5 Morecambe
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-2 MK Dons

There is little separating the teams ahead of Saturday's clash, but MK Dons just about have the edge given their record in this fixture. We are anticipating a keenly-contested affair with the visitors narrowly coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawMK Dons
29.93% (-0.21 -0.21) 24.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 45.11% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.78% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)47.31% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (0.004999999999999 0)69.54% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (-0.14 -0.14)29.39% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (-0.174 -0.17)65.37% (0.176 0.18)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.107 0.11)21.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.2% (0.166 0.17)53.8% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 29.93%
    MK Dons 45.11%
    Draw 24.95%
MorecambeDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.93%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.51% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 45.11%

How you voted: Morecambe vs MK Dons

Morecambe
23.1%
Draw
19.2%
MK Dons
57.7%
26
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
MK Dons
1-0
Morecambe
Leko (57')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
O'Hora (18'), Dennis (51')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Morecambe
0-4
MK Dons
Grigg (16', 36'), Grant (62'), Dennis (67')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
Darling (20'), Harvie (79')
Kasumu (32'), Lewington (56')

Gibson (7'), Connolly (67'), Phillips (86'), Ayunga (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Morecambe
0-4
MK Dons

McLoughlin (32')
Eisa (23'), O'Riley (40', 82'), Darling (64')
O'Hora (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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