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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Morecambe |
40.67% ( -0.03) | 27.24% ( 0.01) | 32.08% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.48% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.12% ( -0.03) | 55.87% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.01% ( -0.03) | 76.99% ( 0.02) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.03% ( -0.03) | 26.97% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.69% ( -0.04) | 62.31% ( 0.03) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.75% ( -0) | 32.25% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.25% ( -0.01) | 68.74% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 11.39% 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |