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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
Morecambe
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Barrow

Forest Green
0 - 2
Barrow


Omotoye (58'), Robson (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Foley (4'), Telford (18')
Ray (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Barrow

Forest Green were excellent against Colchester last time out, and if they can find a similar performance here, it is likely to be too much for Barrow. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, or indeed a Barrow win, but we just have a feeling that the hosts will edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawBarrow
33.89% (-0.539 -0.54) 26.01% (-0.258 -0.26) 40.09% (0.794 0.79)
Both teams to score 53.86% (0.735 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (0.991 0.99)50.5% (-0.991 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (0.867 0.87)72.43% (-0.869 -0.87)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.14500000000001 0.15)28.36% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.184 0.18)64.1% (-0.185 -0.19)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.873 0.87)24.82% (-0.875 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (1.201 1.2)59.4% (-1.203 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 33.9%
    Barrow 40.09%
    Draw 26.01%
Forest Green RoversDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.322 -0.32)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.9%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.125 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.84% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 4% (0.156 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.108 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.088 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 40.09%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Barrow

Forest Green Rovers
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Barrow
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Barrow
4-0
Forest Green
Grayson (5'), Rooney (38'), Platt (53'), Amadi-Holloway (90+2')
Gotts (43'), Gordon (70'), Amadi-Holloway (74')

Cadden (28'), March (36'), Adams (75')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Forest Green
2-0
Barrow
Stevens (61', 83')

Kay (28'), Brough (57')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Forest Green
0-2
Barrow

Cargill (45+1'), Adams (48'), Stokes (51'), Bernard (76')
Quigley (18' pen.), Thomas (25')
Beadling (72')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Barrow
2-2
Forest Green
James (73'), Angus (82' pen.)
Taylor (71')
Whitehouse (52'), Cadden (90+6')
Moore-Taylor (62'), Kitching (87')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Barrow
2-3
Forest Green
Bennett (33'), Hannah (88')
Harvey (22'), Livesey (23'), Bennett (43'), Hannah (75'), Rowe (88')
Noble (6'), Doidge (64'), Marsh-Brown (94')
Ellis (23'), Cooper (76'), Wishart (85'), Noble (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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