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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Morecambe |
63.8% ( 0.09) | 19.37% ( -0.03) | 16.83% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 58.08% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.56% ( 0) | 36.43% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.43% ( 0) | 58.57% ( 0) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.15% ( 0.03) | 10.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.07% ( 0.05) | 34.93% ( -0.05) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.15% ( -0.07) | 34.85% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.41% ( -0.08) | 71.59% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Morecambe |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 63.8% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.78% 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.37% | 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 16.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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