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FA Cup
Mansfield Town
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Mansfield
1 - 2
Wrexham

Oates (60')
Reed (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dalby (23'), Mullin (58')
Evans (32'), Davies (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Mansfield Town and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 0-1 Wrexham

 Sweating over the fitness of Akins and reeling from their first defeat of the season, the stage appears set for a jelly-legged Mansfield to suffer a second cup exit in a matter of days. Despite their unenviable injury list, Wrexham have been a tough nut to crack on enemy territory in recent weeks, and we believe that Parkinson's men have what it takes to shade a tight battle to book their place in round two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 53.6%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawWrexham
53.6% (0.32 0.32) 23.2% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 23.2% (-0.273 -0.27)
Both teams to score 55.59% (-0.178 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)44.77% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)67.13% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.084000000000003 0.08)16.65% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.5% (0.151 0.15)46.5% (-0.151 -0.15)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (-0.283 -0.28)33.3% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (-0.311 -0.31)69.92% (0.31100000000001 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 53.6%
    Wrexham 23.2%
    Draw 23.2%
Mansfield TownDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.91% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.85% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.32% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44%
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 53.6%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.2%
0-1 @ 6.1% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 23.2%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Wrexham

Mansfield Town
42.1%
Draw
0.0%
Wrexham
57.9%
19
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Mansfield
0-0
Wrexham
Clarke (18'), Cargill (19')
Evans (69')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2008 3pm
Mansfield
2-1
Wrexham
Mullins (54'), Louis (51' pen.)
Mar 1, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-1
Mansfield
Proctor (70')
Bolland (35')
Boulding (53')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
0-0
Mansfield
Williams (12'), Proctor (65')
Jelleyman (27'), White (41'), Hamshaw (65'), Brown (77')
Oct 21, 2006 3pm
Mansfield
3-0
Wrexham
Barker (21', 36'), Reet (69')
rhs 2.0
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