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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Mansfield Town

Notts County
1 - 4
Mansfield

Crowley (3')
McGoldrick (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Reed (24'), Cargill (70'), Flint (74'), Akins (81')
Cargill (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Notts County 1-1 Mansfield Town

 Notts County have won every single home match they have played so far this season, but Mansfield Town remain undefeated in all competitions. Given that the Stags also have a very good defensive record, we do not expect Saturday's game to be a high-scoring affair, and it could end up finishing as a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMansfield Town
34.49% (0.353 0.35) 23.29% (-0.023 -0.02) 42.22% (-0.325 -0.32)
Both teams to score 63.67% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.19% (0.21400000000001 0.21)37.8% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.94% (0.226 0.23)60.05% (-0.223 -0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (0.288 0.29)22.01% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68% (0.431 0.43)55.32% (-0.427 -0.43)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)18.36% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)49.48% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 34.49%
    Mansfield Town 42.22%
    Draw 23.28%
Notts CountyDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.63% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 34.49%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.8% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 42.22%

How you voted: Notts County vs Mansfield

Notts County
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Mansfield Town
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 33
Notts County
1-0
Mansfield
Mackail-Smith (19')
Stead (32'), Boldewijn (81')

Turner (6'), Mellis (59'), Pearce (85')
Dec 8, 2018 1pm
Gameweek 21
Mansfield
2-0
Notts County
Hamilton (37', 63')
Elsnik (62'), Mellis (73'), Atkinson (90')

Turley (32'), Hewitt (76'), Dennis (89')
Mar 17, 2018 1pm
Notts County
1-1
Mansfield
Hawkridge (35')
Hewitt (98')
Hemmings (99' pen.)
Atkinson (53'), Benning (73'), MacDonald (88')
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
-
Notts County
1-2
Mansfield
Smith (34')
Smith (74')
Angol (1'), Hamilton (73')
Mellis (34')
Sep 30, 2017 1pm
Mansfield
3-1
Notts County
Rose (47', 59'), Duffy (63' og.)
Hemmings (60')
Dickinson (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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