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Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Mansfield Town

Accrington
0 - 3
Mansfield


Bagueloc'rich (6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Keillor-Dunn (29'), Maris (35'), Lewis (75')
Maris (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Mansfield Town

Mansfield are yet to lose this season and will provide tough opposition for Accrington, who will be aiming to return to winning ways in League Two. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away win, but we are expecting the points to be shared on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 49.82%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMansfield Town
26.32% (-0.189 -0.19) 23.86% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 49.82% (0.21400000000001 0.21)
Both teams to score 56.76% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)44.79% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.85% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)67.15% (0.047000000000011 0.05)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)30.73% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (-0.201 -0.2)66.98% (0.20399999999999 0.2)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.94% (0.066000000000003 0.07)18.06% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.03% (0.109 0.11)48.97% (-0.106 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 26.32%
    Mansfield Town 49.82%
    Draw 23.85%
Accrington StanleyDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.55% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.86% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.32%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.13% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.47% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.64% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 49.82%

How you voted: Accrington vs Mansfield

Accrington Stanley
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
Mansfield Town
37.5%
32
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
6-1
Accrington
Walker (9' pen., 13' pen., 45'), Khan (16'), Rose (66'), Hamilton (90')
Mellis (28'), Benning (41')
Finley (6')
Conneely (26'), Mingoia (29'), Platt (45')
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Aug 19, 2017 3pm
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Mansfield
4-4
Accrington
Bennett (31'), White (45'), Coulthirst (64'), Arquin (89')
MacDonald (27'), Byrom (42'), Bennett (51'), Collins (85')
Beckles (5'), McCartan (28'), Kee (43', 66')
McCartan (18'), Donacien (22'), Pearson (33'), Beckles (61'), Conneelly (62'), Kee (80')
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Accrington
1-1
Mansfield
Gornell (56')
Lacey (74'), Kee (90')
Clements (31')
Hurst (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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