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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
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Walsall
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Notts County

Salford City
0 - 2
Notts County


Ingram (76'), McAleny (84'), Watt (86'), Berkoe (87')
Berkoe (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGoldrick (37'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (68'), O'Brien (82'), Nemane (89')
Nemane (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Salford City and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Wolves U21s
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Salford City 0-1 Notts County

Notts County have started the season very well, while Salford City have struggled in their recent matches, losing their last three games on the spin. As such, we expect a narrow victory for the visitors, who will go top of the table providing they do not lose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawNotts County
26.57% (-0.206 -0.21) 23.5% (-0.093 -0.09) 49.93% (0.296 0.3)
Both teams to score 58.19% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.99% (0.25 0.25)43% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.59% (0.249 0.25)65.4% (-0.253 -0.25)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)29.6% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)65.63% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (0.205 0.2)17.34% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28% (0.36 0.36)47.72% (-0.365 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 26.57%
    Notts County 49.93%
    Draw 23.5%
Salford CityDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.25% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 26.57%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.6% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.6% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.41% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.038 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 49.93%

How you voted: Salford City vs Notts County

Salford City
5.0%
Draw
15.0%
Notts County
80.0%
20
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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