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Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Notts County

Salford City
0 - 2
Notts County


Ingram (76'), McAleny (84'), Watt (86'), Berkoe (87')
Berkoe (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGoldrick (37'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (68'), O'Brien (82'), Nemane (89')
Nemane (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Salford City and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Wolves U21s
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Salford City 0-1 Notts County

Notts County have started the season very well, while Salford City have struggled in their recent matches, losing their last three games on the spin. As such, we expect a narrow victory for the visitors, who will go top of the table providing they do not lose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawNotts County
26.57% (-0.206 -0.21) 23.5% (-0.093 -0.09) 49.93% (0.296 0.3)
Both teams to score 58.19% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.99% (0.25 0.25)43% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.59% (0.249 0.25)65.4% (-0.253 -0.25)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)29.6% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)65.63% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (0.205 0.2)17.34% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28% (0.36 0.36)47.72% (-0.365 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 26.57%
    Notts County 49.93%
    Draw 23.5%
Salford CityDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.25% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 26.57%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.6% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.6% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.41% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.038 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 49.93%

How you voted: Salford City vs Notts County

Salford City
5.0%
Draw
15.0%
Notts County
80.0%
20
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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