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Championship header 2

League Two
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Accrington
2 - 0
Wrexham

Leigh (50' pen.), Longelo-Mbule (72')
Adedoyin (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Wrexham

 Wrexham may possess one of the worst attacking records away from home in the top half of the League Two table, but Parkinson's stingy defence should have no problems keeping an out-of-sorts Accrington team at bay. With injuries also rearing their ugly heads for the hosts, a replenished Wrexham crop boosted by the return of a well-rested Mullin should stroll to a sixth successive victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawWrexham
36.78% (0.561 0.56) 24.86% (-0.113 -0.11) 38.36% (-0.444 -0.44)
Both teams to score 58.27% (0.457 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.572 0.57)45% (-0.567 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.547 0.55)67.35% (-0.542 -0.54)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (0.572 0.57)24.08% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.63% (0.806 0.81)58.37% (-0.802 -0.8)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (0.028000000000006 0.03)23.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (0.038000000000004 0.04)57.16% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 36.78%
    Wrexham 38.36%
    Draw 24.85%
Accrington StanleyDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 36.78%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.36%

How you voted: Accrington vs Wrexham

Accrington Stanley
16.0%
Draw
24.0%
Wrexham
60.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Roberts (90' pen.)
Evans (20')
Pejic (7' og.), Cavanagh (28'), Whalley (72')
Craney (20'), Whalley (72'), Cavanagh (73')
Oct 5, 2007 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Wrexham

Webb (84')
Roberts (37', 66')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Johnson (45')
Crowell (13'), Valentine (36'), Evans (55')
Brown (83', 86'), Mullin (17')
Harris (30')
Sep 13, 2006 3pm
Accrington
5-0
Wrexham
Cavanagh (55'), Roberts (52', 67'), Craney (49'), Mullin (41')
Cavanagh (30')

Valentine (81'), Llewellyn (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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