MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 23:17:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Accrington Stanley

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 4
Accrington

Bugiel (51', 70')
Pell (24'), Al-Hamadi (68'), Biler (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pritchard (4', 46'), Leigh (9'), Hills (83')
Bagueloc'rich (25'), Hills (54'), Mellor (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Accrington Stanley

The fact that Wimbledon's previous four league games have produced just two goals suggests another cagey encounter could be on the cards, but both teams have scored in eight of the last nine head-to-heads. There is not much to split the sides in the table and there may be little to separate on them the pitch too in what could well be a close encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawAccrington Stanley
49.39% (-0.405 -0.41) 25.05% (0.004999999999999 0) 25.55% (0.398 0.4)
Both teams to score 52.2% (0.356 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (0.287 0.29)50.47% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6% (0.253 0.25)72.4% (-0.25500000000001 -0.26)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)20.45% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)52.91% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (0.491 0.49)34.37% (-0.492 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (0.521 0.52)71.08% (-0.52300000000001 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 49.38%
    Accrington Stanley 25.55%
    Draw 25.05%
AFC WimbledonDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 49.38%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.086 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 25.55%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Accrington

AFC Wimbledon
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Accrington Stanley
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
AFC Wimbledon
3-4
Accrington
Assal (56'), Rudoni (58', 66')
Heneghan (79')
Bagueloc'rich (18'), Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45'), O'Sullivan (63')
Bagueloc'rich (73'), Butcher (81')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Accrington
1-5
AFC Wimbledon
Nottingham (5')
Burgess (56')
Palmer (21', 42'), Assal (45+1', 64'), Pigott (57')
Assal (65'), Heneghan (67')
Heneghan (90+2')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Accrington
Longman (18')
Woodyard (27')
Sykes (41'), Butcher (45')
Cassidy (62'), Pritchard (90+4')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Accrington
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Clark (14'), Charles (21')
Pritchard (27')
Pritchard (55')
Pigott (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall22154341192249
2AFC Wimbledon22114733181537
3Notts County22107535241137
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310763227537
5Port Vale2310762724337
6Grimsby Town23121103334-137
7Salford City2210662619736
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe229942619736
9Chesterfield2397737271034
10Bradford CityBradford229762824434
11MK Dons219483429531
12Bromley2271053126531
13Gillingham2293102221130
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham238693436-230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2251252623327
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood216962726127
17BarrowBarrow227692122-127
18Newport CountyNewport2275102938-926
19Tranmere RoversTranmere215791630-1422
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2364131935-1622
21Swindon TownSwindon2349102837-921
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2147102738-1119
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2246121734-1718
24Morecambe2345142039-1917


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!