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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
38.14% ( -0.52) | 27.22% ( 0.09) | 34.64% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 50.12% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.67% ( -0.31) | 55.33% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.46% ( -0.26) | 76.54% ( 0.26) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.86% ( -0.45) | 28.14% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.19% ( -0.57) | 63.81% ( 0.57) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% ( 0.12) | 30.26% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% ( 0.14) | 66.44% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.13% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 34.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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