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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bradford City in this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Bradford City |
36.21% ( 0.18) | 27.26% ( 0.03) | 36.52% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 50.08% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.59% ( -0.1) | 55.41% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.39% ( -0.08) | 76.61% ( 0.08) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.67% ( 0.07) | 29.32% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.7% ( 0.08) | 65.3% ( -0.08) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.86% ( -0.17) | 29.13% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.93% ( -0.21) | 65.06% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.21% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 24 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
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