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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Colchester United |
49.04% ( 0.23) | 24.35% ( 0.02) | 26.61% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 55.39% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.28% ( -0.28) | 46.72% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.01% ( -0.26) | 68.99% ( 0.26) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.89% ( -0.02) | 19.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.26% ( -0.03) | 50.74% ( 0.03) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.48% ( -0.34) | 31.52% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.09% ( -0.39) | 67.91% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 26.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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