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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Leyton Orient

Exeter
2 - 6
Leyton Orient

Alli (47', 56')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Abdulai (5', 7', 64'), Clare (14'), Markanday (34'), Donley (78')
Galbraith (26'), Beckles (52'), Keeley (60'), Cooper (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-3 Blackpool
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Reading
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient will carry significant momentum into the midweek fixture, and we think that they will extend their 10-game unbeaten run by claiming a narrow win over an Exeter side that have lost three of their previous five home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawLeyton Orient
30.03% (-0.153 -0.15) 25.69% (-0.02 -0.02) 44.28% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 53.44% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (0.023999999999994 0.02)50.38% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68% (0.02 0.02)72.32% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)30.88% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)67.16% (0.116 0.12)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (0.093000000000004 0.09)22.69% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.66% (0.13699999999999 0.14)56.34% (-0.13399999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 30.03%
    Leyton Orient 44.28%
    Draw 25.69%
Exeter CityDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.03%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 10.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.06% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.81% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.28%

How you voted: Exeter vs Leyton Orient

Exeter City
14.3%
Draw
12.2%
Leyton Orient
73.5%
49
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Leyton Orient
0-1
Exeter

Ball (53'), Brown (77')
Richards (40')
Niskanen (44'), Caldwell (45'), McMillan (48'), Sweeney (89')
Watts (90+3')
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Leyton Orient
2-2
Exeter
O'Neill (36'), Moncur (64')
Alli (88'), Carroll (90+2')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Exeter
1-2
Leyton Orient
Mitchell (48')
Borges (90'), Beardmore (90+5'), Cole (90+6')
Pigott (55'), Sotiriou (90+2')
Archibald (45+2'), Pratley (59'), Sotiriou (90+3')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Exeter
1-0
Leyton Orient
Diabate (90+2')
Dieng (54'), Brown (81')

Thompson (24'), Pratley (75'), Beckles (90+1')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Leyton Orient
3-0
Exeter
Drinan (7'), Beckles (25'), Archibald (77')
James (59')

Grounds (25')
Grounds (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham40298373294495
2Wrexham422410859322782
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe422312767373081
4Stockport CountyStockport422211963372677
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4222101058382076
6Reading421912115951869
7Leyton Orient422061661431866
8Bolton WanderersBolton42206166362166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield421971654441064
10Blackpool4115151163531060
11Barnsley42169176064-457
12Lincoln CityLincoln421413155749855
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham42159184853-554
14Stevenage411410173844-652
15Exeter CityExeter421410184558-1352
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough41139196272-1048
17Wigan AthleticWigan411114163539-447
18Mansfield TownMansfield41138204959-1047
19Northampton TownNorthampton421114174259-1747
20Burton Albion411012194459-1542
21Bristol Rovers42126244268-2642
22Crawley TownCrawley4299244981-3236
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge42811234066-2635
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4279263771-3430


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