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Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brisbane Road
Exeter City

Leyton Orient
0 - 1
Exeter


Ball (53'), Brown (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Richards (40')
Niskanen (44'), Caldwell (45'), McMillan (48'), Sweeney (89')
Watts (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Exeter
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 1-1 Exeter City

Leyton Orien's recent upturn in form has seen them climb out of the relegation zone in recent weeks, and while they are on a good mini run, they are now winless in their last six home games. Exeter meanwhile have been solid defensively but it would be a tough ask for them to leave Brisbane Road with all three points, so a low-scoring draw looks to be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawExeter City
44.92% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 25.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 29.33% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.85% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.03% (0.053000000000004 0.05)50.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.16% (0.047000000000001 0.05)72.84% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.64% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.74% (0.014000000000003 0.01)56.26% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (0.052000000000007 0.05)31.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (0.062000000000001 0.06)68.1% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 44.92%
    Exeter City 29.33%
    Draw 25.74%
Leyton OrientDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.92%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.33%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Exeter

Leyton Orient
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Exeter City
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Leyton Orient
2-2
Exeter
O'Neill (36'), Moncur (64')
Alli (88'), Carroll (90+2')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Exeter
1-2
Leyton Orient
Mitchell (48')
Borges (90'), Beardmore (90+5'), Cole (90+6')
Pigott (55'), Sotiriou (90+2')
Archibald (45+2'), Pratley (59'), Sotiriou (90+3')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Exeter
1-0
Leyton Orient
Diabate (90+2')
Dieng (54'), Brown (81')

Thompson (24'), Pratley (75'), Beckles (90+1')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Leyton Orient
3-0
Exeter
Drinan (7'), Beckles (25'), Archibald (77')
James (59')

Grounds (25')
Grounds (74')
Mar 6, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 34
Exeter
4-0
Leyton Orient
Randall (11'), Jay (13', 42', 50' pen.)

Widdowson (27'), Akinola (49'), Turley (75'), Clay (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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