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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St James Park
Stevenage

Exeter
2 - 0
Stevenage

Francis (9'), Doyle (50')
Crama (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberts (44'), Piergianni (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Barnsley
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Stevenage

Exeter may have lost last weekend, but they tend to perform well in meetings with Stevenage, and we think that they will draw confidence from their impressive head-to-head record to claim all three points in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
36.71% (-0.252 -0.25) 27.52% (0.061 0.06) 35.77% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.26% (-0.185 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57% (-0.232 -0.23)56.43% (0.234 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56% (-0.189 -0.19)77.44% (0.19 0.19)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)29.52% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-0.327 -0.33)65.54% (0.328 0.33)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.24% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 36.71%
    Stevenage 35.76%
    Draw 27.51%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 36.71%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.89% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.0019999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.76%

How you voted: Exeter vs Stevenage

Exeter City
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Stevenage
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Exeter
1-0
Stevenage
Cole (38')
Carroll (22'), Hemmings (69'), Thompson (90+3'), Sweeney (90+3')

Butler (7'), Thompson (47'), Watts (86')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stevenage
1-1
Exeter
Piergianni (45+1')
Butler (53')
Wildschut (47')
Aitchison (23'), Caldwell (24'), Taylor (43'), Sweeney (46'), Sinisalo (64'), Niskanen (75')
Aitchison (43')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-1
Stevenage
(Aggregate 1-1 | Exeter win 5-3 on penalties)
Hartridge (5')
Trevitt (8'), Sweeney (30')
Roberts (69')
Evans (9'), Butler (63'), Thompson (89')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Stevenage
2-2
Exeter
List (23', 59')
Taylor (57'), Cuthbert (66')
Nombe (10'), Jay (50')
Sweeney (29'), Hartridge (44'), Ray (47'), Atangana (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley29127104139243
10Reading27125104241141
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
13Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
14Blackpool2791083938137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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