Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Stevenage |
36.71% ( -0.25) | 27.52% ( 0.06) | 35.77% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 49.26% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.57% ( -0.23) | 56.43% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.56% ( -0.19) | 77.44% ( 0.19) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% ( -0.27) | 29.52% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% ( -0.33) | 65.54% ( 0.33) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.9% ( 0.01) | 30.1% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.76% ( 0.01) | 66.24% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.71% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |