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Walsall
Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Stevenage

Exeter
2 - 1
Stevenage

Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 4-2 Salford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Stevenage

Despite potentially receiving a new manager 'bounce' in Evans's first game in charge here, the visitors arrive at St James Park on the back of a poor winless streak and a challenging week following their COVID-19 outbreak. Factoring all of this in with Exeter's strong run of form and an excellent record over their visitors, all the signs are pointing towards a comfortable home win here to see the hosts strengthen their hold on an automatic promotion spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
61.83%22.24%15.93%
Both teams to score 46.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26%50.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36%72.64%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08%15.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.83%45.16%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34%44.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34%80.66%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 61.82%
    Stevenage 15.93%
    Draw 22.24%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 13.06%
2-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.39%
5-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 61.82%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22.24%
0-1 @ 5.73%
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.31%
1-3 @ 1.14%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 15.93%

How you voted: Exeter vs Stevenage

Exeter City
96.3%
Draw
3.7%
Stevenage
0.0%
27
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Exeter
List (23', 59')
Taylor (57'), Cuthbert (66')
Nombe (10'), Jay (50')
Sweeney (29'), Hartridge (44'), Ray (47'), Atangana (84')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Jan 23, 2021 1pm
Exeter
3-1
Stevenage
Collins (10'), Jay (79'), Bowman (85')
List (81')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Williams (36'), Jay (81')
Kemp (79')
Digby (42'), Parrett (69'), Dabo (83'), Reading (90')
Jan 21, 2020 7pm
Exeter
3-0
Stevenage
Ajose (25'), Jay (30', 48')
Randall (15')

Lakin (8')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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