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Walsall
Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Stevenage

Exeter
2 - 1
Stevenage

Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 4-2 Salford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Stevenage

Despite potentially receiving a new manager 'bounce' in Evans's first game in charge here, the visitors arrive at St James Park on the back of a poor winless streak and a challenging week following their COVID-19 outbreak. Factoring all of this in with Exeter's strong run of form and an excellent record over their visitors, all the signs are pointing towards a comfortable home win here to see the hosts strengthen their hold on an automatic promotion spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
61.83%22.24%15.93%
Both teams to score 46.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26%50.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36%72.64%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08%15.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.83%45.16%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34%44.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34%80.66%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 61.82%
    Stevenage 15.93%
    Draw 22.24%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 13.06%
2-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.39%
5-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 61.82%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22.24%
0-1 @ 5.73%
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.31%
1-3 @ 1.14%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 15.93%

How you voted: Exeter vs Stevenage

Exeter City
96.3%
Draw
3.7%
Stevenage
0.0%
27
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Exeter
List (23', 59')
Taylor (57'), Cuthbert (66')
Nombe (10'), Jay (50')
Sweeney (29'), Hartridge (44'), Ray (47'), Atangana (84')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Jan 23, 2021 1pm
Exeter
3-1
Stevenage
Collins (10'), Jay (79'), Bowman (85')
List (81')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Williams (36'), Jay (81')
Kemp (79')
Digby (42'), Parrett (69'), Dabo (83'), Reading (90')
Jan 21, 2020 7pm
Exeter
3-0
Stevenage
Ajose (25'), Jay (30', 48')
Randall (15')

Lakin (8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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