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Walsall
Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Crawley Town

Exeter
2 - 1
Crawley

Dieng (31', 44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Appiah (45+6')
Tsaroulla (26'), Yems (45'), Tilley (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Crawley Town

Exeter are currently in imperious form, and we think that they will pick up all three points on Tuesday when they face a Crawley side that are low on confidence after losing their last two matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
59.6%22.73%17.67%
Both teams to score 48.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.08%49.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.1%71.9%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62%16.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.99%46.01%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.04%41.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6%78.4%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 59.59%
    Crawley Town 17.67%
    Draw 22.72%
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 5.89%
4-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.11%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 59.59%
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 6.87%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.97%
1-2 @ 4.69%
0-2 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 1.36%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 17.67%

How you voted: Exeter vs Crawley

Exeter City
82.4%
Draw
17.6%
Crawley Town
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Crawley
1-3
Exeter
Appiah (31')
Nadesan (22'), Hessenthaler (45+4')
Nadesan (43')
Jay (54'), Atangana (56'), Nombe (90')
Atangana (45+4'), Nombe (83')
Feb 27, 2021 1pm
Crawley
2-0
Exeter
Nichols (62' pen.), Nadesan (83')
Tunnicliffe (26'), Nadesan (48'), Francomb (52')

Sparkes (44')
Parkes (51')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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