Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.