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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
53.67% ( -0.69) | 24.31% ( 0.28) | 22.02% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.3% ( -0.66) | 50.7% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% ( -0.59) | 72.61% ( 0.59) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% ( -0.51) | 18.82% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.74% ( -0.86) | 50.26% ( 0.87) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.3% ( 0.03) | 37.7% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.52% ( 0.03) | 74.48% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.67% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.62% Total : 22.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |