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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Lincoln City

Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Lincoln

Forde (35')
Wilson (45+1'), Moore (48'), Martin (61'), Forde (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moylan (64')
Moylan (62'), Montsma (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesham 0-4 Lincoln
Monday, November 4 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Lincoln City

Lincoln may have been put to the sword on their last League One away day at Crawley, but the Imps have otherwise been near-unbeatable on the road in 2024 and head to the Memorial Stadium with the form book firmly on their side. In spite of Bristol Rovers' relatively pleasing home record, the Gas are too inconsistent for us to back them with any real conviction, and a Lincoln outfit who love facing the Pirates have our vote to continue their promotion charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawLincoln City
29.04% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 26.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 44.64% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (0.010999999999996 0.01)53.38% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.92% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)33.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.76% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (0.010999999999996 0.01)23.81% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.97% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 29.04%
    Lincoln City 44.64%
    Draw 26.31%
Bristol RoversDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.82%
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.04%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 44.64%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Lincoln

Bristol Rovers
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Lincoln City
60.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Lincoln
5-0
Bristol Rovers
O'Connor (11'), Taylor (19', 23', 55'), Hackett (81')
Erhahon (45+4'), Skubala (46'), Makama (65'), Roughan (71')
Erhahon (76')

Aguilera (85')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Lincoln
Grant (90+4')
Finley (42'), Vale (84')
Jackson (53')
Mitchell (45+1'), Mandroiu (66'), Smith (71')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Bristol Rovers
3-6
Lincoln
Collins (18', 65'), Loft (59')
House (7', 61'), Diamond (14' pen., 45+1', 56'), Virtue (51')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Lincoln

Jaakkola (51'), Leahy (52'), Baldwin (90+8'), McCormick (90+9')
Upson (36')
Scully (16')
Edun (37'), Johnson (37'), Poole (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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