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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Lincoln City

Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Lincoln

Forde (35')
Wilson (45+1'), Moore (48'), Martin (61'), Forde (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moylan (64')
Moylan (62'), Montsma (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesham 0-4 Lincoln
Monday, November 4 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Lincoln City

Lincoln may have been put to the sword on their last League One away day at Crawley, but the Imps have otherwise been near-unbeatable on the road in 2024 and head to the Memorial Stadium with the form book firmly on their side. In spite of Bristol Rovers' relatively pleasing home record, the Gas are too inconsistent for us to back them with any real conviction, and a Lincoln outfit who love facing the Pirates have our vote to continue their promotion charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawLincoln City
29.04% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 26.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 44.64% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (0.010999999999996 0.01)53.38% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.92% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)33.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.76% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (0.010999999999996 0.01)23.81% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.97% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 29.04%
    Lincoln City 44.64%
    Draw 26.31%
Bristol RoversDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.82%
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.04%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 44.64%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Lincoln

Bristol Rovers
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Lincoln City
60.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Lincoln
5-0
Bristol Rovers
O'Connor (11'), Taylor (19', 23', 55'), Hackett (81')
Erhahon (45+4'), Skubala (46'), Makama (65'), Roughan (71')
Erhahon (76')

Aguilera (85')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Lincoln
Grant (90+4')
Finley (42'), Vale (84')
Jackson (53')
Mitchell (45+1'), Mandroiu (66'), Smith (71')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Bristol Rovers
3-6
Lincoln
Collins (18', 65'), Loft (59')
House (7', 61'), Diamond (14' pen., 45+1', 56'), Virtue (51')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Lincoln

Jaakkola (51'), Leahy (52'), Baldwin (90+8'), McCormick (90+9')
Upson (36')
Scully (16')
Edun (37'), Johnson (37'), Poole (90')
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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