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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Lincoln
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Poole (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCormick (25'), Gibbons (68'), Quansah (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Lincoln City 2-2 Bristol Rovers

We believe that Lincoln's home run without a win will continue in this game, but also that their run without losing will extend to five matches. Bristol Rovers' ability to score and leak goals makes this game exciting to watch and can make them unpredictable, but we think that this game will end a point a piece for each side in a high-scoring 2-2 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
43.96%25.34% (0.00099999999999767 0) 30.7%
Both teams to score 54.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)48.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.27% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.73%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92%22.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57%55.43%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48%29.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (0.0010000000000048 0)65.53%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 43.96%
    Bristol Rovers 30.7%
    Draw 25.34%
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.84%
2-1 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 4.57%
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.52%
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.95%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.7%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Bristol Rovers

Lincoln City
62.5%
Draw
0.0%
Bristol Rovers
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-6
Lincoln
Collins (18', 65'), Loft (59')
Evans (8')
House (7', 61'), Diamond (14' pen., 45+1', 56'), Virtue (51')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Lincoln

Jaakkola (51'), Leahy (52'), Baldwin (90+8'), McCormick (90+9')
Upson (36')
Scully (16')
Edun (37'), Johnson (37'), Poole (90')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Baldwin (46' og.)
Jackson (61'), Bridcutt (87')
Jackson (83')
Daly (48'), Hanlan (58' pen.)
Nicholson (90+5'), Tutonda (90+8')
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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