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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Accrington
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Leigh (51'), Astley (79')
Coyle (38'), Rodgers (55'), Martin (86'), Hamilton (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sinclair (25'), Finley (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-3 Bristol Rovers

On the back of only one league victory in their last 11 matches, we can predict playoff candidates Bristol Rovers moving closer to the top six with a hard-fought win over Accrington Stanley at The Crowd Ground on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBristol Rovers
35.73% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 25.41% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 38.86% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.21% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.113 -0.11)47.6% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (-0.105 -0.11)69.81% (0.10100000000001 0.1)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)25.88% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)60.86% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)24.15% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.131 -0.13)58.47% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 35.73%
    Bristol Rovers 38.86%
    Draw 25.4%
Accrington StanleyDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 35.73%
1-1 @ 12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.86%

How you voted: Accrington vs Bristol Rovers

Accrington Stanley
27.3%
Draw
18.2%
Bristol Rovers
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Accrington
6-1
Bristol Rovers
Pritchard (8'), Charles (12', 17', 70'), Bishop (28', 48')
Pritchard (7'), McConville (44')
Nicholson (11')
Williams (61')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-3
Accrington
Rodman (4'), Clarke-Harris (41', 63')
Clarke (52'), Clarke-Harris (73')
Clark (18'), Finley (20'), Charles (77' pen.)
Conneely (10')
Conneely (49')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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