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League One
Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Oxford United

Accrington
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Hamilton (84')
Tharme (35'), Astley (57'), Leigh (62'), Pritchard (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Henry (58')
Brown (73'), Murphy (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Barnet
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-1 Exeter
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-3 Oxford United

 Accrington Stanley have certainly improved in recent weeks and will look to kick on with another positive result on Saturday, but Oxford United possess more attacking quality, and we see them having enough to continue their unbeaten run and return home with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawOxford United
28.1% (0.198 0.2) 24.77% (-0.202 -0.2) 47.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.21% (0.809 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (0.991 0.99)47.51% (-0.989 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (0.91 0.91)69.72% (-0.91 -0.91)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (0.66499999999999 0.66)30.8% (-0.665 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (0.776 0.78)67.08% (-0.776 -0.78)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (0.405 0.41)20.21% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.47% (0.642 0.64)52.53% (-0.641 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.1%
    Oxford United 47.13%
    Draw 24.77%
Accrington StanleyDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.69% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.1%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 9.96% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.072 0.07)
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.094 0.09)
1-4 @ 2% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.13%

How you voted: Accrington vs Oxford Utd

Accrington Stanley
17.9%
Draw
23.1%
Oxford United
59.0%
39
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Accrington
2-0
Oxford Utd
O'Sullivan (28'), Hamilton (90+1')
Leigh (47')

Williams (49'), Brannagan (75')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
5-1
Accrington
Holland (18', 24'), Taylor (50'), Sykes (71'), Nottingham (90+4' og.)
Seddon (56'), Kane (79'), Moore (81'), Williams (90')
Hamilton (61')
Sykes (45+3'), McConville (81')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Accrington
Lee (25')
Lee (54'), Taylor (88')
Smyth (16'), Nottingham (70')
Butcher (58'), Rodgers (87')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Accrington
1-4
Oxford Utd
Cassidy (71' pen.)
Rodgers (44'), Hughes (55'), Pritchard (90')
Charles (75')
Henry (45'), Pritchard (73' og.), Taylor (85', 88')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
3-0
Accrington
Henry (13'), Taylor (50', 72')

Finley (71'), Johnson (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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