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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Bristol Rovers

Orsi (15')
Kalinauskas (39'), Webster (45+1'), Cooper Love (89')
Vancooten (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forde (52'), Sinclair (59'), Ward (90+3')
Conteh (45'), O'Donkor (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-2 Charlton
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Bristol Rovers

At least three goals have been scored in each of Burton's and Bristol Rovers' last five league games, so another entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action could be on the cards this weekend. Although the Pirates have picked up nine of their 10 points on home soil so far this season, we are backing them to secure all three on the road against an out-of-sorts Brewers outfit this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBristol Rovers
40.04% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.59% (0.0039999999999978 0) 33.37% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)74.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.012 -0.01)25.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)61% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)29.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)66.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 40.03%
    Bristol Rovers 33.37%
    Draw 26.58%
Burton AlbionDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.03%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.37%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Bristol Rovers

Burton Albion
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Bristol Rovers
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Burton Albion
Evans (60')
Gilligan (43'), Helm (57')
Bola (49'), Gilligan (52'), Helm (64'), Bennett (80')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Burton Albion
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Lubala (26', 43'), Powell (81'), Baah (84')
Moon (18'), Crocombe (70'), Helm (88')
Evans (7')
Bogarde (90+2')
Woods (64')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Burton Albion
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Smith (14'), Butcher (64')
Shaughnessy (1')
Evans (4'), Connolly (12'), Collins (40', 44')
Whelan (72')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Smith (55')
Clare (43'), Carter (90+2'), Hemmings (90+6')

McCormick (11')
McCormick (52')
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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