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League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Burton Albion

Bristol Rovers
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Evans (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gilligan (43'), Helm (57')
Bola (49'), Gilligan (52'), Helm (64'), Bennett (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Burton Albion

Bristol Rovers' matches usually feature plenty of goals, with Taylor's side favouring attack over defence. They should be determined to return to winning ways in front of their home fans after the disappointing defeat against Fleetwood. Burton may have more energy after their match against Cheltenham was postponed in midweek, but they are lacking offensive quality and could be out-gunned by their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawBurton Albion
58.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 22.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 18.67% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 49.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)49.24% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.3% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.44% (0.0029999999999859 0)16.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.67% (0.0020000000000024 0)46.33%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.61% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)40.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)77% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 58.39%
    Burton Albion 18.67%
    Draw 22.92%
Bristol RoversDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.02%
2-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 6.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.88%
4-0 @ 2.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 2.64%
4-2 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.05%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 58.39%
1-1 @ 10.9%
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 6.06%
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.75%
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 18.67%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Burton Albion

Bristol Rovers
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
Burton Albion
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Burton Albion
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Lubala (26', 43'), Powell (81'), Baah (84')
Moon (18'), Crocombe (70'), Helm (88')
Evans (7')
Bogarde (90+2')
Woods (64')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Burton Albion
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Smith (14'), Butcher (64')
Shaughnessy (1')
Evans (4'), Connolly (12'), Collins (40', 44')
Whelan (72')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Smith (55')
Clare (43'), Carter (90+2'), Hemmings (90+6')

McCormick (11')
McCormick (52')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Burton Albion
Daly (52')
Ehmer (72')
Hemmings (79')
O'Toole (18'), Quinn (33'), Fox (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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