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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Cole (43'), O'Keeffe (73')
McAtee (21'), Durand de Gevigney (67'), Kane (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martin (68')
Evans (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Wigan
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers will certainly pose a tough test at Oakwell and have the quality to hurt Barnsley, but the Reds do have more quality throughout their squad, and with plenty of momentum of their own, we fancy Collins's men to come out on top in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
55.06% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 22.33% (-0.026 -0.03) 22.6% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46% (0.071000000000005 0.07)41.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06% (0.071999999999996 0.07)63.94% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99% (0.046000000000006 0.05)15.01% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.53% (0.086999999999996 0.09)43.47% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.04% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)68.51% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 55.06%
    Bristol Rovers 22.61%
    Draw 22.33%
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 55.06%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 22.61%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Bristol Rovers
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Barnsley
Sinclair (81')
Cadden (7')
Cotter (23'), Russell (63'), Kane (82')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Barnsley
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Cole (3'), Williams (13'), Benson (56')

Finley (35'), Coutts (35'), Connolly (58')
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 46
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Barnsley
Rodman (71', 92')
Upson (77')
Moore (12')
Lindsay (37'), Mowatt (56')
Lindsay (44')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Barnsley
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Mowatt (11')
Moncur (39'), Mowatt (45'), Davies (90')

Kelly (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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