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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Charlton

Helm (24'), Brayford (47')
Bennett (5'), Helm (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomas (35'), May (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Charlton Athletic

There is little doubt that Charlton possess more individual talent, particularly in offensive areas, but their confidence levels are likely to be low having lost four of their last five league games. Burton are not in great form themselves, but they have remained consistent at home and are fighting to impress their new manager. As such, we expect the hosts to avoid defeat as a worst case scenario, but Charlton should have enough firepower to get something out of the game. A score draw feels the likeliest outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
33.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.85% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 41.38% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.8% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)45.39% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)67.73% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)25.97% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)60.99% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)21.92% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.052 -0.05)55.2% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 33.78%
    Charlton Athletic 41.38%
    Draw 24.85%
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 7.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.78%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.38%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Charlton

Burton Albion
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Charlton Athletic
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Charlton
1-1
Burton Albion
Jones (19')
Dobson (63'), Jones (78')
Sweeney (90+1')
Carayol (67'), Kamwa (87')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Charlton
3-2
Burton Albion
Rak-Sakyi (7', 17'), Bonne (50')
Hughes (45+2'), Walker (76')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Burton Albion
3-3
Charlton
Oshilaja (38'), Hamer (45'), Adeboyejo (58')
Kirk (26', 36'), Rak-Sakyi (75')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Charlton
2-0
Burton Albion
Washington (12'), Taylor (42')

Hamer (9'), Niasse (32'), Oshilaja (47'), Shaughnessy (55'), Gilligan (65'), Chapman (79')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Burton Albion
0-1
Charlton

Hemmings (41')
Oshilaja (18')
Purrington (20')
Lee (28'), Jaiyesimi (31'), Famewo (45+4'), Arter (46')
Stockley (17')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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