MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 13:02:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Charlton

Helm (24'), Brayford (47')
Bennett (5'), Helm (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomas (35'), May (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Charlton Athletic

There is little doubt that Charlton possess more individual talent, particularly in offensive areas, but their confidence levels are likely to be low having lost four of their last five league games. Burton are not in great form themselves, but they have remained consistent at home and are fighting to impress their new manager. As such, we expect the hosts to avoid defeat as a worst case scenario, but Charlton should have enough firepower to get something out of the game. A score draw feels the likeliest outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
33.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.85% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 41.38% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.8% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)45.39% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)67.73% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)25.97% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)60.99% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)21.92% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.052 -0.05)55.2% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 33.78%
    Charlton Athletic 41.38%
    Draw 24.85%
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 7.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.78%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.38%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Charlton

Burton Albion
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Charlton Athletic
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Charlton
1-1
Burton Albion
Jones (19')
Dobson (63'), Jones (78')
Sweeney (90+1')
Carayol (67'), Kamwa (87')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Charlton
3-2
Burton Albion
Rak-Sakyi (7', 17'), Bonne (50')
Hughes (45+2'), Walker (76')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Burton Albion
3-3
Charlton
Oshilaja (38'), Hamer (45'), Adeboyejo (58')
Kirk (26', 36'), Rak-Sakyi (75')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Charlton
2-0
Burton Albion
Washington (12'), Taylor (42')

Hamer (9'), Niasse (32'), Oshilaja (47'), Shaughnessy (55'), Gilligan (65'), Chapman (79')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Burton Albion
0-1
Charlton

Hemmings (41')
Oshilaja (18')
Purrington (20')
Lee (28'), Jaiyesimi (31'), Famewo (45+4'), Arter (46')
Stockley (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!