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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Burton Albion
3 - 3
Charlton

Oshilaja (38'), Hamer (45'), Adeboyejo (58')
Taylor (70')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Kirk (26', 36'), Rak-Sakyi (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Needham Market
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Charlton (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Charlton Athletic

 Charlton will be favourites entering this match, and rightly so looking at Burton's form. We struggle to see the Brewers having any joy against the Addicks, who have the chance to close the gap to the teams in the playoff places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
37.26% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 26.14% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01) 36.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.77% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.24% (0.025999999999996 0.03)50.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (0.024999999999999 0.02)72.66% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.48% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33% (0.037999999999997 0.04)61.67% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)26.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83%62.17%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 37.26%
    Charlton Athletic 36.6%
    Draw 26.13%
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.26%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 36.6%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Charlton

Burton Albion
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
Charlton Athletic
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Charlton
2-0
Burton Albion
Washington (12'), Taylor (42')

Hamer (9'), Niasse (32'), Oshilaja (47'), Shaughnessy (55'), Gilligan (65'), Chapman (79')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
0-1
Charlton

Hemmings (41')
Oshilaja (18')
Purrington (20')
Lee (28'), Jaiyesimi (31'), Famewo (45+4'), Arter (46')
Stockley (17')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Charlton
1-2
Burton Albion
Stockley (9')
Fondop-Talum (25'), Watson (54' og.)
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Burton Albion
4-2
Charlton
Akins (9'), Powell (39'), Hughes (53'), Vernam (76')
Akins (64')
Smyth (42'), Aneke (67')
Gunter (30'), Gilbey (61'), Watson (65'), Maatsen (80'), Aneke (81')
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
Charlton
2-1
Burton Albion
Taylor (6' pen.), Reeves (33')
Akins (19' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120
> League One Full Table


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