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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Portsmouth |
41.49% ( -0.76) | 25.73% ( -0.06) | 32.78% ( 0.81) |
Both teams to score 54.47% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.43% ( 0.49) | 49.57% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.4% ( 0.44) | 71.59% ( -0.45) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.31% ( -0.16) | 23.68% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.2% ( -0.23) | 57.8% ( 0.22) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.38% ( 0.78) | 28.61% ( -0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.58% ( 0.96) | 64.42% ( -0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.49% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |