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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
49.31% ( 0.1) | 25.68% ( -0.18) | 25.02% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.81% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.63% ( 0.77) | 53.37% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.1% ( 0.65) | 74.91% ( -0.64) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.34% ( 0.36) | 21.67% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.2% ( 0.55) | 54.81% ( -0.54) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.59% ( 0.5) | 36.41% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.8% ( 0.5) | 73.2% ( -0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.3% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 25.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |