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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Charlton Athletic

Port Vale
3 - 3
Charlton

Chislett (45' pen.), Ikpeazu (63'), Massey (90+2')
Crosby (33'), Smith (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (27'), Kanu (59'), Campbell (83')
Jones (32'), Dobson (74'), Watson (87'), Thomas (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Oxford Utd
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Charlton Athletic

There is only goal difference to split these teams right now in the league, therefore this promises to be a closely-contested match. With each team heading into the game on the back of a defeat a cautious approach could be shown which might lead to them sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
39.02% (-0.744 -0.74) 24.83% (0.243 0.24) 36.15% (0.501 0.5)
Both teams to score 58.31% (-0.814 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.08% (-1.083 -1.08)44.92% (1.083 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73% (-1.05 -1.05)67.27% (1.051 1.05)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)22.88% (0.846 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-1.266 -1.27)56.62% (1.266 1.27)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (-0.223 -0.22)24.39% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (-0.317 -0.32)58.8% (0.317 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 39.02%
    Charlton Athletic 36.15%
    Draw 24.83%
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.177 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.256 0.26)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.071 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.312 0.31)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.185 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 36.15%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Charlton

Port Vale
40.8%
Draw
36.7%
Charlton Athletic
22.4%
49
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Charlton
2-3
Port Vale
May (10' pen.), Kanu (71')
May (32'), Maynard-Brewer (34'), Anderson (38'), Hector (90+7')
Wilson (55'), Chislett (56'), Ojo (87')
Ripley (9'), Chislett (50'), Arblaster (76')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Charlton
3-2
Port Vale
Campbell (14'), Rak-Sakyi (57'), Leaburn (77')
Plant (62'), Taylor (90+7' pen.)
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Charlton
Jones (85' pen.)
Tavares (81')
Ulvestad (30')
Holmes (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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